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A little theme for this heat



he he he, you remember? Of course, while this issue was 83.

I was a teenager and had two years living in Galicia and still not even remotely knew Betanzos, although that would change in September when he enters the FP of Betanzos and since then many things happened uff and met many friends , some others stayed behind and we remain great colleagues, have already been 25 years since that!

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Poker and PartyPoker betandwin

I've been playing a long time to Poker Bet and Win. The Results: 50 euros in mid-March and I will remove 100 or 195 euros. In the account I have 150 euros now, but I bet 50 to which the club takes the champions. When you finish the game withdraw all the money in the account, doubly doubly happy or annoyed. In any case, my initial investment will be doubled or quadrupled. In

Poker rooms tournament was always a short-hand table. 5-player games are where the former is 70% and 30% second. I started playing games 3 +30 c buy-in, and then I spent the 5 +50 c. Those of 5 were a little below my level, and used finish first or second. The euro's 10 +1 were at my level, sometimes hands looked really sophisticated strategy, and I smiled to myself when I saw that he had correctly predicted.

Concentration in the game is fundamental, at least in my case. Headings 5 \u200b\u200b+50 c, make a mistake or two could mean being removed. In those 10 +1 could lose even without making mistakes.

confess that I am especially good with more than 2 players, but the final heads-up gives me particularly badly, although I'm improving.

From what I have also noticed compared with how they played on PartyPoker is that Europeans have a form of play rather different from the Americans. We are more conservative. The strategy of the Americans in general are more aggressive and unpredictable (at least for me). Many times just letting the other players lose.

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Roulette: Crescent

is formed by twelve numbers on the opposite side of zero on the caster, ranging from 27 to 33, inclusive.

To bet you must place a chip on each of the following horses: 5 / 8, 10/11, 13/16, 23/24, 27/30, and 33 / 36. In total, six chips, instead of the twelve that would be needed to numbers betting full.
It wins if one of the twelve numbers are part of the crescent 27/33 and the prize is seventeen times the bet plus your bet, or a total of 18 chips. The probability of winning is twelve in favor to the 37 possible, equal to 32.43%.
In short:

• played 6 tabs
• bet 12 numbers
• 18 counters are won
• p (win) = 32.43%

not forget to make bets of this type are only sense if the probability that the ball lands in this area is higher than the theoretical, and this can only happen in real casino tables, never in virtual casinos. Hope

= [p (win) * gain] - [p (lose) * loss]

Hope = [12/37 * 12] - [25/37 * 6] = -0.162

Earn banking.

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Wizard of Odds Roulette

After a rest period of involuntary back here.

I ran a website that I liked a lot and I have to keep checking. I recommend you to take a look.

Wizard of Odds

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triangle or vertex 0

There goes some more detail on how to bet areas. Areas shall explain at a time.

Triangle or Vertex 0

It consists of 17 numbers, nine to the left of zero (22, 18, 29, 7, 28, 12, 35, 3 and 26) and seven to the right of zero (32 , 15, 19, 4, 21, 2 and 25), including zero.



To bet you must place a chip on each of the horses 4 / 7, 12/15, 19/22, 18/21 and 35/32, two chips in the square 25/26/28 / 29 and two tabs on the triple 0/2/3. In total nine chips are needed instead of the seventeen that would be required to bet on these numbers to full.
It wins if one of the seventeen numbers that are part of the vertex zero and the award varies depending on the combination to which it belongs the winning number.
Thus we have if you leave one of the numbers posted on horseback, the prize is 17 times the bet plus your bet, or a total of 18 chips. If one of the four numbers that form part of the square 25/26/28/29, the prize is 8 times the bet plus your bet. Whereas the square bet two chips, the prize is 16 cards plus 2 of the bet, or a total of 18 chips.
If one of the three numbers that are part of the triple 0/2/3, the award is 11 times the bet plus your bet. Whereas bet 2 chips, the prize is 22 cards plus 2 of the bet, or a total of 24 chips.
The probability of winning is 17 in favor to the 37 possible, equal to 48.64%.

Summary:

• played 9 chips bet 17 numbers
• They earn 18 or 24 tabs
• p (win) = 48.64%

not forget to make bets of this type are only sense if the probability that the ball lands in this area is higher than the theoretical, and this can only happen in real casino tables, never in virtual casinos. Hope

= [p (win) * gain] - [p (lose) * loss]

Hope = [14/37 * 9 + 3 / 37 * 15] - [20/37 * 9] = -0.243

Earn banking.

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General Comments, suggestions or requests

Hello to all who follow this blog.

I wish it were more interactive. Besides all I'm going to write, which is something, I'd like the link that says 'comments' for each post you go leaving me your comments, suggestions and requests, the style you want.

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Lottery: Do they make sense of the martingale?

I told him a friend and all of a sudden I smiled incredulously.

Then I gave a couple of laps. I thought, finally, after all, in lotteries bet a number, there is a chance to win a lot, and probability of losing.

In the lottery, when double bet, it makes sense to bet on different numbers, while the martingale betting is always the same. For this reason, you can win the lottery but have no reason to retrieve the bet, while the wheel itself is recovered every dollar.

The advantage of the lottery is not betting limit, unlike the casino, which is a martingale always winners, but need a lot of dough if you have very bad luck.

I'll put an example with the Euromillions, so popular with both boat and has been. I'm assuming that if hits 2 +1 (minimum accuracy) need to earn 9 euros. The probability of touching 2 +1 is 1 / 38 = 2.63% (I have not calculated what I got from here ). The probability that you touch is NOT 37/38. The minimum bet, as you know, is 2 €.

The minimal martingale goes like this:
7 3 694

2		2 9 97.37%
	2 4 9		94.81 % 5
2		6 9 92.31%
2	8	9	89,88%	1
4	12	18	87,52%	6
4	16	18	85,21%	2
6	22	27	82,97%	5
8	30	36	80,79%	6
10	40	45	78,66%	5
12	52	54	76,59%	2
16	68	72	74,58%	4
20	88	90	72,61%	2
26	114	117	70,70%	3
34	148	153	68,84%	5
44	192	198	67,03%	6
56	248	252	65,27%	4
72	320	324	63,55%	4
92	412	414	61,88%	2
120	532	540	60,25%	8
154	686	693	58,66%	7
198	884	891	57,12%	7
254	1138	1143	55,62%	5
326	1464	1467	54,15%	3
420	1884	1890	52,73%	6
540	2424	2430	51,34%	6
		3118 3123 49.99%		5

The columns are:
1 .- The amount to bet to win
2 .- The cumulative amount lost if you lose
3 .- The amount to be won, if winning
4 .- The probability of losing
5 .- Net income

As you see, so that the probability of loss is less than 50% have to play for 36 consecutive weeks to the same combination of numbers displayed in the first column.

In case you are curious, so that the probability of losing less than 1% have to play for 173 weeks in a row, this is 40 months, almost 4 years. You can imagine the payout.

mathematically possible, is physically absurd?

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Poker: Hold'em Poker Blackjack

I do not intend to explain the rules of Poker, nor those of Hold'em, that's why there are hundreds of places online to find them.

In this post I want to very Sencillito rules so that anyone can play a little Hold'em immediately without being fleeced. As I say, I will not talk about the eight groups or complex concepts. This post can help those without a defined strategy.

Outline of the strategy
The English would say 'be tight and aggressive. " What it means this is to go a few hands ('tight'), only when you have good cards (I will not go here on board positions, but we all know that poker is positional play), and when you have good cards strong commitment ('aggressive '). The opposite would be 'loose' and 'passive'.
In general, non-bluff ('bluff') unless you're really able to predict what you will do your opponents.
Be very patient, and do not modify your strategy if you're not completely sure what will your opponents.

When playing cards? Play

• couples equal to or greater than 88. A couple of hand the British call it 'pocket', and 'd 'pocket eights. "
• Play when your cards are high. As a simple rule if your two cards are above 9.
• The cards are better if they are the same suit ('suite'). It is better KJs ('suite' in the same suit) that KJo ('offsuit', of different suits).
  
• The cards are better the closer they are to each other ('connected'). QJ is better than KT (T 10), and dare I say almost as good as KJ.
  
• And of course, the higher the better.
• The five best possible hands are: AA, KK, QQ, JJ and AKs (AK 'suite' in the same suit)

And after 'Flop'?
The flop is the first three letters. The fourth is called 'street' and the fifth 'river'.
If you have nothing, do not hesitate to throw your cards unless you think you have very good options for getting a good play. Remember, be 'tight'.

Nothing more basic concepts. I hope you find them useful.

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Basics: How I can win at Blackjack? Roulette

In 1963, Edward O. Thorp, a software engineer at IBM, published a book called "Beat the Dealer" after filling their pockets much playing Blackjack. In that book described a simple technique for counting the cards that were used to what it was able to get a favorable chance of winning. And technique worked. Unfortunately today

casinos play with multiple decks of cards, and use only half the back deck before shuffling. Virtual casinos typically use 8 decks of cards. This makes it impossible to use the counting technique effectively.

Suppose your playing technique is flawless and you use it perfectly. In this case, you should know that the dealer has an advantage over you 1%, which eventually won. If you have a winning streak for playing and stay away from the table. Banking, against bad players is much greater benefits, including more than 10 or 20%.

Today, there is no technique to win. You can find very good information about the Wikipedia or The Mathematics of Blackjack. I remain skeptical of some style webs to Beat the Blackjack Dealer .

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Beat

The real roulette can be beat, that is, win consistently. In electronic roulettes (internet) can have a winning streak, but if you play consistently, the dealer wins.

Schedule an electronic roulette is very simple, even I've done, I've done simulators, etc. If you want to test an electronic roulette all you have to do is run a million times, and within seconds you will see that the distribution of occurrence of numbers is uniform are all equally likely.

And if the uniform electronic roulette, "I can apply the Law of Large Numbers? (Bet on the numbers that come less) Of course, but you have to understand what they mean large numbers, and 10,000 bets are probably not enough to take advantage of the law. It takes a lot of pocket and patience to make a profit rather small. Personally, I rule it out.

What about the physical roulette? Well, can not be tested millions of times because it requires millions of minutes. Also, do the wear and even more imperfect. The physical spinners require a manufacturing process very careful, but then it would be expensive, and so on. In short, its imperfection makes the distribution is not equiprobable.

equiprobable If not, what would be the best way to bet? For the contrary to follow the law of large numbers, ie, betting on the numbers coming out more.

In any case, the imperfections of the spinners are subtle and require close observation. In addition there is an element that they introduce more randomness, and the dealer. Casinos change the croupier throws the ball that many times each night, do not know if every half hour or every hour, but the frequency may be more or less. Unlike other push croupier involves roulette and other impulse to the ball. I said, more randomness.

Still, you can take advantage. With all this, you can bet on roulette areas, rather than numbers. A zone is a series of numbers that are consecutive in the crown of the wheel.

We must bear in mind the distribution of numbers in French roulette, and it is this:


Speaking always in the sense of clockwise and including, the bets can be made for the following areas:

• Vertex Triangle or 0 (from 22 to 25), 17 issues
  
• Crescent (from 27 to 33) , 12 issues
  
• Fans (17 to 6 + 1 to 9), 8
  
• Small numbers (12 to 19), 8
  
• Sector numbers (20 to 34), 23 numbers
  

Combining areas, the study of the physical roulette croupiers and believe you can win, although I have not tried. Go to the casino is a travel and expense entry, time, etc.. For this reason I have not raised seriously. Also require a study team, not one person watching.

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real roulette Poker: The alternative to make money (II)

I started playing for money, I entered $ 50 in my account at PartyPoker and lost.

Parentheses:
Now I say this, IMPORTANT: before a promotion to welcome read well the conditions under which you "give away" money . Usually trap. For example, Casino Tropez will give away pasta but you have to jugártela at least 2 times in the slot. That is, if you deposit $ 100 they give you $ 50 more, total $ 150. You have to gamble $ 300 on the slots to remove the paste. Other games such as roulette and such, not worth. That at the time I thought about play at that casino.

Back then, has NOTHING to do play with funny money to play with real money. The people who play on these sites for real knows much, very much. And it is natural that you lose all the money faster or slower.

course, after losing those dollars, much more research on the topic of poker. I started looking for books, programs, several things to help me improve how I played Hold'em Poker.

For example, when I was playing called "fish" and thought he insulted me. Yes, calling fish what they were saying was that it was a succulent prey for people who could play and knew exactly how to get me the dough, because they knew how he would react then.

strategies and ways to play each off the poker table are fully studied, and no style of play that always succeed. The strategy should change depending on how your opponents play, how many there are in the table, and most of your position on the hand, marked "D" dealer.

The game can be "tight" or "loose" "pre-flop" or "post-flop," "aggressive" or "passive" players are "strong" or "weak" ...

A simple game to play as the Hold'em Poker has a lot behind it to really become an expert.

After I entered my first $ 50 $ 100 more, having well documented, and managed to recover the $ 50 initial. I tried to make more but I spent almost a month swings, winning, losing, regaining ... So I decided to withdraw my $ 150 to further improve my game. I had a very good down the road.

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Poker: The alternative to earn money

After analyzing various casino games, look for chances to win at Blackjack, Roulette program some simulators, etc., I gave up. You can not win money playing in the casino, you always lose.

Alternative: Poker. Last spring

I started playing poker with my friends, and I had a vice. Initially losing money, a lot, but it took some time to put myself at their level to be the most balanced games. We never played much, the total amount we each never exceeds what may cost us a dinner at a normal restaurant.

This summer I was in the U.S. and discovered the widespread hobby that Americans have a particular variant, the Hold'em Poker. A variant is very easy to understand, learn and play in rookie plan, but very complex if one wants to start playing professionally. In the U.S. championships televised Hold'em Poker: regional and global end World Poker Tour, a program Celebrity Poker where famous play, etc.

In between announcing, among others, the Party Poker , web to which I connected, I downloaded the software and started playing with funny money 'Play Money'.

By October or so and played quite well. Lying made money steadily. I had my excel with my stats and weekly earnings were substantial, with growth consistently above 100%. I thought I was capable of doubling the money invested weekly with some ease. Also, I thought, here you do not play against the house, here you play against other people. Are you better than them, but the bank is left with a percentage of boat on each bet, you make money.

So I started to play with real money, real money, euros.

soon tell you more.

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Roulette: Roulette

One can mount a complex martingale everything you want, I rode a few and I played with them at the Online Casino and Casino Tropez (the latter can play offline). First

explain how it develops the martingale, then the entire show. Martingale that I will explain is always winning, but you can create a little more conservative in that neither gain nor lose any of the plays. Suppose

French roulette minimum bet as a row (this are three numbers) is 1, and the maximum bet of 100. From my point of view this is an optimal martingale and also easy to remember, because it minimizes losses and gives a lot of play. But in the end is lost, is mathematical. It's fun to play in small series.

If you bet 1 to a row and you win, the bank gives us 11 more chips, so it would withdraw 12 of the table. The probability of winning is 3 / 37 in French Roulette. The losing is 34/37 = 91.892%

The table below takes these 4 columns: Quantity
I bet ...
If I lose, my loss is cumulative ...
If I win, removal of the table ...
Probability of not winning ...

1		1 91.892% 12
	1 2	84.441% 12

That is, if I can bet 1 lose 1, and if I lose, what I do in the next bet? Bet 1, because if I win, I win 12, much greater than 1.

so you can calculate the benefit in each row by subtracting the cumulative loss that left the table. Developing
completely
martingale:

1.	1	12	91,892%
1.	2	12	84,441%
1.	3	12	77,595%
1.	4	12	71,303%
1.	5	12	65,522%
1.	6	12	60,209%
1.	7	12	55,327%
1.	8	12	50,841%
1.	9	12	46,719%
1.	10	12	42,931%
1.	11	12	39,450%
2.	13	24	36,252%
2.	15	24	33,312%
2.	17	24	30,611%
2.	19	24	28,129%
2.	21	24	25,848%
2.	23	24	23,753%
3.	26	36	21,827%
3.	29	36	20,057%
3.	32	36	18,431%
3.	35	36	16,936%
4.	39	48	15,563%
4.	43	48	14,301%
4.	47	48	13,142%
5.	52	60	12,076%
5.	57	60	11,097%
6.	63	72	10,197%
6.	69	72	9,370%
7.	76	84	8,611%
7.	83	84	7,913%
8.	91	96	7,271%
9.	100	108	6,681%
10.	110	120	6,140%
11.	121	132	5,642%
12.	133	144	5,184%
13.	146	156	4,764%
14.	160	168	4,378%
15.	175	180	4,023%
16.	191	192	3,697%
18.	209	216	3,397%
20.	229	240	3,122%
21.	250	252	2,868%
23.	273	276	2,636%
25.	298	300	2,422%
28.	326	336	2,226%
30.	356	360	2,045%
33.	389	396	1,879%
36.	425	432	1,727%
39.	464.	468	1,587%
43.	507.	516	1,458%
47.	554.	564	1,340%
51.	605.	612	1,231%
56.	661	672	1,132%
61.	722.	732	1,040%
66.	788.	792	0,956%
72.	860.	864	0,878%
79.	939.	948	0,807%
86.	1025.	1032	0,741%
94.	1119.	1128 0.681%
102.	1221.	1224 0.626%

If you look, when I have lost 11 times in a row, the next time I bet 2, so that if I win, I win something.

As you can see, this martingale gives much more play than betting on red or black, the probability of losing everything is smaller (this is 0.681%), and the average profit (6.413) for every time I make it juicier. The drawback is that it requires more money in your pocket to be able to play: 1119 chips. In any case, also lost in this martingale.

Probability of losing x amount lost = 0.00681 x 1119 = 6.9154 x Probability of winning
average profit = (1-.00681) x 6.413 = 6.3693

The martingale complete red or black is:

26.370% 4 13.541% 1.834% 64

	1 1 2		51.351%
	2 3 4
		7 8
8	15	6.954% 16
	16 31 32		3.571%
	32 63 64
		127 128 0.942%
	128 256 255		0.484%

The probability of losing everything is 0'942%, is lost before and the way to lose is more boring. In this other

martingale: Probability of losing

x amount lost = 0.00942 x 127 = 1.1963 x Probability of winning
average profit = (1-.00942) x 1 = 0.9905

As you see, is also lost. Suppose

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Martingales more complex: I can win? My hobby

roulette

ideal. An ideal wheel is one in which all numbers are equally likely to leave. That

Roulette is unbeatable. Again, UNBEATABLE. There is no method that can make you earn money.

In finite series of bets, that is, that you put in front of the wheel and play a bit, you can earn some money, or at least lose with some slow and have fun on the road. The more you play, the more natural to lose money.

People states that there are ways to win at roulette. Do not pay any attention, is FALSE. The typical example is a simple martingale probability 50%. Martingale

simple:
Bet 1 to something that is likely almost 1 / 2 to occur (red or black, for example).
If you lose you double (2).
If you lose you double (4).
...
If you lose you double (infinite).

could be so on to infinity. That way when you win, something would happen sooner or later, would earn 1.

Example:
Bet 1 to red and you lose (accumulated losses: 1)
Bet 2 to red and you lose (loss Accumulated: 2 +1 = 3)
Bet 4 to red and you lose (accumulated losses: 4 +3 = 7)
Bet 8 to red and desire (earnings: 8-7 = 1)
Overall
Another would earn 1
way to see is that in each successive bet betting everything you have already lost more than one, and another way to look is the amount needed to bet that if you win the next bet if net balance is positive (this gives us clues to make martingales more sophisticated).
red
The probability is 1 / 2, 18/37 at roulette is French, and 18/38 in American roulette. French Roulette has a zero, American 2. If you want to play, do it in French Roulette.

Casinos bet limit tables that can not be made infinite martingale. When you reach the limit of the martingale loses everything.

Example:
table limits: minimum 1, maximum 100
bet 1 and lose.
bet 2 and lose.
bet 4 and lost.
bet 8 and lost.
bet 16 and lose.
bet 32 \u200b\u200band lose.
bet 64 and lose.
I can not bet 128 and I'm 127!
multiplicáis
If the probability to lose through losses and profits are earned by you will see that you lose more than it earns. Martingales

NOT WORK. In another moment I will explain other more sophisticated martingales allow fun one more time, but fail like this.

If you find any online method that says that works, you command me and I will show it does not work, except one who'll tell you another day, but requires that roulette is not perfect, and this is impossible in online casinos.

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My love casino games is long. 7 years that I will for the first time in a casino, and handed me the worst. I went with 5,000 pesetas (about 30 €) and left the casino with double the money. I also had had a great time gambling and feeling the emotion of what will happen, "win or lose? Exciting.
As appeared online casinos offline versions I downloaded from various casinos and spent hours playing that always failed testing strategies in the long run, as predicted by the mathematical formulas. Simulators did implement more complex, sophisticated martingale, but nothing, unsuccessfully.

In this blog, I share with the utmost rigor all my experiences with the game, all my knowledge. My thing with the game is almost an obsession at this point, do not talk about gambling because gambling is not just money, but spend time trying to break the chance for my convenience. The day that the formula, make money and be very happy (not for money but for winning). I do not know if it is an impossible goal, but at least it's exciting.

Welcome to my walks through the casino and mathematics.